Publications

Peer-Reviewed Publications


Working Papers


Graduating into Disruption: Labor Market Outcomes for AI-Exposed College Majors

Joint with Lee C. Tucker and Lawrence Warren. Published in CES Working Paper Series (2026)

This paper uses PSEO and LEHD data to estimate the effects of AI exposure on recent college graduates. The most AI-exposed grads have employment declines of 5pp and earnings declines of 13% in the quarter immediately following graduation, partially driven by shifts to lower-paying sectors.

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Returns to School Spending in Rural America: Evidence from Wisconsin’s Sparsity Aid Program

Joint with Riley Acton and Salem Rogers. Published in EdWorkingPaper and IZA (2023)

We study the effects of increased school spending caused by Wisconsin’s Sparsity Aid Program. The increased spending had little effect on standardized test scores, but modestly increased college enrollment and completion for students with a low likelihood of attending or completing college.

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Works-in-Progress