Publications

Graduating into Disruption: Labor Market Outcomes for AI-Exposed College Majors

Joint with Lee C. Tucker and Lawrence Warren. Published in CES Working Paper Series (2026)

This paper uses PSEO and LEHD data to estimate the effects of AI exposure on recent college graduates. The most AI-exposed grads have employment declines of 5pp and earnings declines of 13% in the quarter immediately following graduation, partially driven by shifts to lower-paying sectors.

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Estimating the Graduate Coverage of Post-Secondary Employment Outcomes

Published in CES Working Paper Series (2025)

This paper proposes a new methodology for estimating the coverage rate of the Post-Secondary Employment Outcomes data product (PSEO) and assesses how representative PSEO is of the broader population of college graduates.

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Returns to School Spending in Rural America: Evidence from Wisconsin’s Sparsity Aid Program

Joint with Riley Acton and Salem Rogers. Published in EdWorkingPaper and IZA (2023)

We study the effects of increased school spending caused by Wisconsin’s Sparsity Aid Program. The increased spending had little effect on standardized test scores, but modestly increased college enrollment and completion for students with a low likelihood of attending or completing college.

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Clocking into Work and Out of Class: College Student Enrollment, Labor Supply, and Borrowing

This paper uses survey data and a dynamic structural model to study how college students choose their credit hour enrollment, labor supply, and borrowing, paying particular attention to the role of wages, financial resources and beliefs.

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The Evolution of the Wage Elasticity of Labor Supply over Time

Joint with Todd Elder and Steven J. Haider. Published in Journal of Human Resources (2025)

We examine the evolution of this elasticity over the last four decades. We find robust evidence that the elasticity weakly increased between 2000 and 2020, representing a striking reversal from the sizable declines for single and married women between 1979 and 2000.

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Peer Gender Composition and Non-Cognitive Factors

Published in Applied Economics Letters (2023)

Using data from Add Health and exploiting idiosyncratic variation in the share of female peers across grades within schools, I find positive but small effects of a higher share of female peers for male students.

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The Role of Expectations in College Student Study Hour Choices

This paper uses novel survey data on college students’ beliefs about the returns to schoolwork to explain variation in their reported schoolwork hours.

From Lecture to Venture: Business Formation by College Graduates

Joint with Emin Dinlersoz and Andrew Foote

This paper uses administrative data to document the business formation activities of postsecondary graduates.

It’s All a Matter of Degrees: Comparing Survey and Administrative Educational Attainment Data

Joint with Andrew Foote and Lawrence Warren

This paper measures the accuracy of survey responses on educational attainment in the American Community Survey and Current Population Survey using linked administrative data on degree attainment.

Specificity of CIP Codes: Are Six Digits Too Many for Tracking Post-Graduation Outcomes?

This paper proposes a framework for selecting the optimal CIP code aggregation level and provides estimates of errors from aggregating using PSEO microdata.